Implementation of Trend Moment Method in Forecasting Regional Income
نویسندگان
چکیده
In order to carry out the functions and authorities of local governments in form implementing fiscal authority, regions must be able recognize potential identify resources they have. Forecasting is an art science predicting future events. The Regional Financial Asset Management Agency (BPKAD) Asahan Regency does not yet know Revenue upcoming period & available a system that can calculate for period. main purpose this research prediction Income following year. created helps determining 2022, with data used from 2011 – 2021. Trend Moment method uses certain statistical mathematical calculation methods find function straight line instead broken formed by company's historical data. choosing forecast method, accuracy needed minimize errors forecasting (forecast error), goal approach reality. Based on results testing, predicts regional revenue which IDR 136,847,395,228.82 result percentage (MAPE) Mean Absolute Percentage Error 0.12%.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS)
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2684-8910', '2685-3310']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.47065/bits.v4i2.2090